September 07, 2026 [Oil Price]- Fuel-oil supply is tightening as war-related refinery disruptions and strong diesel demand lead refiners to prioritize diesel production. Energy Aspects forecasts a 218,000 bpd fuel-oil deficit in Q3 2026, the first quarterly shortage since 2025, with Asia expected to be hit hardest. Middle East refinery outages and reduced Russian diesel exports are worsening the imbalance, while low gasoline and diesel inventories are likely to keep refiners focused on higher-margin products.

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